Irvine Real Estate Blogger

No, I don’t mean the Realtors that are newly licensed, but Realtors have been master recyclers for years.

Going green is the “trend du jour”. Many commercials, many TV shows and many magazine/newspaper articles are talking about going green to protect the environment. I applaud these efforts!

My frugal grandmother said “use it up, wear it out, make it do.” That’s part of going green. Another part is reusing current products in a new way… buying used furniture and repainting it or adapting it to a new use. Another part is using products that are renewable resources… for instance, if you want hardwood flooring, use bamboo rather than oak or maple. Even soft thirsty towels are now available made from bamboo. Rather than vertical or mini-blinds made from plastic, use natural wood renewable products. Green products are becoming increasingly available, and at competitive prices. Check your local home store for additional ideas.

What does this have to do with Realtors?

Realtors are the master recyclers, and have been for many years. Selling “used” homes to new owners is the ultimate in going green!

Want to help the environment? Buy a home!

They are both solid investments in your future.

According to the National Association of Realtors, on average the value of a home doubles every ten years. In addition, most people’s personal wealth comes from real estate. A personal note: I bought a condo in Irvine in 2000 for $178,500; I sold it in 2007 for $429,000. You can do the math, and see that I made a nice profit, even after paying all costs of the sale.

Education produces the same profit potential. High school graduates don’t have much future earning power. College graduates at the B.A. or B.S. level have a much higher earning power. And it increases exponentially with a Master’s Degree or Doctorate Degree. Whether it’s for yourself or your children… just keep writing those tuition checks… there will be future pay-back in terms of long-term earnings.

In Irvine, we are fortunate in having several higher level education opportunities. Several two-year colleges in the area, regional four-year colleges including the award-winning Chapman University, and the Irvine campus of the prestigious University of California.

And what about current investment in real estate? Interest rates are still at historic lows, and prices of Irvine real estate are comparatively low. It’s a great time to buy! A possible scenario: a home you could have bought two years ago for $600,000 is now priced at $500,000 or less. Given that real estate always appreciates over time, doesn’t that sound like a good time to call a Realtor?

As of 6 pm on April 23rd there are 887 active listings in Irvine; 479 of them are under $729,750 (the new guidelines for first time buyer loan programs); 411 of them are two bedrooms or more with one or one and one-half baths; 391 of them are two bedrooms and two baths. If you are not a first-time buyer, there are still many opportunities for continued home ownership: 133 2-bedroom, 2-bath homes priced up to $500,000; 258 2-bedroom, 2-bath homes priced up to $600,000.

Isn’t it a good time to call a Realtor?

Google reminded us to turn out the lights during Earth Hour, and now while “googling” something, I am reminded that today, April 22nd, is Earth Day.

Before moving to Irvine, California, we lived in Tucson, Arizona.

Most people think of the desert as rugged and hearty, certainly not fragile and fleeting. With the temperature hovering over the century mark from April through November during the daytime, one can only imagine how difficult it is for the flora and fauna to thrive and persevere.

I am reminded of a flower that blooms only one summer night in Tucson, and closes up at sunrise the very next morning, called the Night Blooming Cereus, or Queen of the Night.

I am reminded how fortunate we are here in Irvine, California to live so close to the Upper Newport Ecological Preserve, a sanctuary for migratory birds, and other critters including ourselves.

I am reminded that Sabino Canyon–a desert oasis in Tucson’s Coronado National Forest–had as a reminder of its fragility at its entrance which read:

Leave only footsteps, and take only memories…

I usually make it a point to scan the Real Estate sections of the L.A. Times, the Orange County Register, and the New York Times at some point over the weekend. However, I overlooked an article regarding 10 zip codes in Southern California that actually experienced price appreciation in the 1st quarter of 2008 as compared with the 1st quarter of 2007. Thankfully I came across Elaine Carlson’s article in PalosVerdesSource.com entitled Hottest SoCal Zip Codes.

The numbers were based on at least 20 sales in each of the zip codes as reported by DataQuick Information Systems. In Orange County, Irvine’s zip code 92603, which encompasses the villages of Quail Hill, Turtle Rock (including Shady Canyon), and Turtle Ridge, experienced an 18.0% increase in the median sales prices for existing single family detached homes as compared to the 1st quarter of 2007, Newport Coast’s 92657 zip code had an increase of 27.4% in the median sales price, and Newport Beach’s 92663 zip code encompassing Lido Isle and Balboa Peninsula had a 66.8% in the median sales price as compared to the 1st quarter of 2007.

Why do “some markets sizzle, while others fizzle?” Proximity to the beach where demand is high and inventory is relatively low has a great deal to do with price appreciation. These coastal areas have buyers who are able to qualify for good fixed rate loans, whereas the interior part of the state had borrowers who were stretching to afford homes, many of whom fell victim to the sub-prime mortgage debacle. (See my article entitled Which Cities are on Top for Home Sellers in California).

To view the cities with the biggest losses, Click here.

Not all city of Irvine addresses are served by the Irvine Unified School District.

The question arises time and time again: If I buy such and such property in Irvine, will my child be able to attend X elementary, middle, high school? The answer is: Don’t assume anything! If you want your child to attend a specific school within the Irvine Unified School District, the best course of action is to check, and then, double-check again!

All too often, buyers do not verify the school boundaries prior to purchasing a home. They assume that if a particular school is within a few blocks of the property they wish to purchase, then it follows that the school is within the property’s school attendance boundary. Wrong! In fact, a school can be within walking distance of the property, and still be outside the school’s designated attendance boundary.

I’ve seen real estate agents make the mistake of inputing the wrong school in the multiple listing service. In so doing, they are unwittingly misleading prospective buyers. For instance, today I had a prospective buyer e-mail me regarding whether University High School is within the attendance boundary of the high-rise condos in the 92612 zip code. This would include the airport area’s mid and high-rise condos of Watermarke, Avenue One, the Plaza, and the Marquee–all of which happen to fall within the Santa Ana Unified School District, not the Irvine Unified School District. There are some buyers (and, indeed, even some real estate agents) who are under the assumption that just because these condos are located in the city of Irvine (92612), that they necessarily fall within the Irvine Unified School District’s attendance boundaries. Not so.

One other caveat: Be sure to check the attendance boundary changes for future years. Just because a school is located in an attendance boundary for 2008 doesn’t preclude the school from a future boundary change. Again, in the airport area, the Metropolitan neighborhood used to be within the Irvine Unified School District’s boundary. However, now the attendance boundary of the Metropolitan falls within the Santa Ana Unified School District. Similarly, the neighborhood of Las Palmas, within the village of Westpark, used to be within the University High School attendance boundary. A homeowner of a Las Palmas condo wound up selling her condo and moving to the University Town Center just so her daughter would be able to attend University High School. She sold her condo because University High was removed from the attendance boundary of Las Palmas a few years ago. To her chagrin, her former neighborhood was recently re-installed and is now again within the University High School attendance boundary.

Therefore, I always recommend that if parents are bent on having their child/children attend a specific school, then the best way to verify if a particular school falls within the desired attendance boundary is to go to the Irvine Unified School District’s web site and check. This is very easy do. Scroll down to Enrollment, and then over to Assigned Neighborhood Schools. Click on this and it will bring you to an area where you can type in the address of the property, and it will display the elementary, middle, and high school attendance area for that particular address. You may also wish to click on the Irvine Unified School District’s School Boundaries. The site also provides a future map indicating boundary changes.

Currently the attendance boundaries for University High School include the villages of Quail Hill, Rancho San Joaquin, Turtle Ridge, Turtle Rock, University Park, and University Town Center.
Better to be informed than sorry!

If you are a home owner looking to actually sell your home in this season of 2008 in the current Irvine real estate market, and not just hoping to sell, then pricing your home realistically makes the best sense–that is not at 2006 sales prices but at today’s comparable home sale prices. If the home is priced commensurate with the recent sales, then the home will sell.

The buyers out there, (and, yes, there are lots of buyers looking and comparing homes and prices) are savvy buyers. They are looking for the best deals. If there’s one thing of which Buyers are aware, it is the prices/values of homes and condos for which they have been looking–often for the better part of a year or more. Moreover, buyers are acutely aware of the foreclosure and short-sale market. These properties scream motivation–even if they are, in fact, a past buyer’s folly or mistake. That’s the buzz, and the buyers are sticking to it…at least that’s what we’re seeing.

Buyers are comparison shopping. Their antennae goes up when a new home comes on the market. Prospective buyers have frequented all of the comparable new homes around and have visited many Open Houses. Buyers are searching on the internet for those real estate web sites and blogs for active real estate listings and comparable home sales, or are seeking the advise of friends and family who may have purchased homes or read about properties for which the debt now exceeds the market value. Thus, buyers are very cautious about the real estate market in general.

Laurie Manny of LongBeachRealEstateHome.com correctly suggests in her article entitled, 8 Deadly Selling Mistakes, that overpricing a home may lead to the opposite result–ultimately a lower price–in other words, chasing the market down. Indeed, overpricing your home will send buyers off to look at and choose to purchase those homes that are reasonably priced in today’s market, leaving the overpriced home a bridesmaid, and never the bride. Moreover, chasing the market down not only can result in a greater loss in the home seller’s net equity, but may also could push a financially shaky seller into a short-sale or foreclosure situation.

On the other hand, homeowners who price their homes to sell can entice multiple offers and actually wind up selling the home for above the asking price–an anomaly in this market, but an increasing event. In her article of April 13th in the New York Times entitled, “Bidding Wars? In This Market?, Elsa Brenner, writes, of an owner in the Westchester area of New York who originally listed their house at $1.2 million, much less than they would have hoped for in better times, but, instead, the relatively low price drew three offers in five days. “In the end, the house sold for $1.35 million, which is what the asking price probably would have been in 2005, when the market was far stronger.”

It is also important to keep in mind most home sellers are, at the same time, home buyers –looking to either size up or down or, if relocating to a new city, purchase a home once they have settled in a new area. So, if the seller can get their home sold fairly quickly, then they can typically negotiate a better price on their new home purchase rather than having a contingency fettering their sale, or, perhaps, the lost opportunity to buy a great home value.

Two elementary schools within the Irvine Unified School District were named a California Distinguished School for 2008, the state’s top honor for individual schools. Based on the results of test scores, only 5% of all schools statewide are awarded this prize, and the award rotates between the elementary, middle, and high school campuses each year. This prestigious prize was awarded to Alderwood Basics Plus elementary school, located in the village of Quail Hill and Canyon View elementary school, situated in the village of Northwood in Irvine, CA.

In an article in Monday, April 7th’s Forbes.com, written by Matt Woolsey, the author outlines the best cities in the country for home sellers. At first glance it was surprising to find that the top two cities named in the article are in California, considering all the doom and gloom the media has been reporting about in the housing sector: however, San Jose, CA, and San Francisco, CA were named #1 and #2, respectively, for home sellers.
The reasons outlined were as follows:

“San Jose’s tough regulatory measures make it difficult to overbuild. In addition, new home construction dropped 63% last year, while jobs grew by 1.2%. Home vacancies, which were already low at 1.6%, fell to a national bottom at 0.8%, helping make San Jose one of the country’s tightest markets.”

“Farther north, San Francisco’s conforming loan limit jumped from $417,000 to the maximum $729,750, which makes getting credit a simpler affair for many of the city’s home buyers. In 2006, the market felt a softening that pushed vacancy rates up to 2.4%, but a 56% cut in construction has cut vacancy rates in half. The increased access to credit, thanks to the new Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac limits, and the lack of available properties plays to sellers’ interests.”

The top 40 friendly seller cities on the list were analyzed and “ranked by its 2007 unsold vacancy rate, calculated by the U.S. Census American Housing Survey, and how much the market had tightened or loosened when compared with 2006 conditions.”

Next the construction starts were reviewed as tracked by the National Association of Home Builders in order to see if building starts would “compound or alleviate vacancy woes.” In addition, the Bureau of Labor Statistics was reviewed for job creation as a “way to measure the local economy’s ability to absorb or offset housing losses.”

Lastly, the degree to which new conforming loan limits from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae will improve each market’s lending conditions was factored into the mix. “When Freddie and Fannie get more involved, lenders get the implicit backing of the Federal Government, something that softens the risks that have slowed lending elsewhere, as jumbo, or nonconforming loans, can be expensive losses.”

San Jose and San Francisco came out on top because they fit the profile of a sellers’ market–low inventory rates that were still shrinking, good job creation, a large scale cutback in new home construction and a boost in the credit market from new Fannie and Freddie loan limits.

On the other hand, in an article written on April 8th, in the Los Angeles Times, entitled Southern California Beach House Prices Remaining Afloat, Ronald White outlines the reasons why homes in the beach cities of the South Bay have faired far better than those located in the inland empire counties of Riverside and San Bernardino.

Moreover, Elaine Carlson, in her article entitled, Now You’re Talking…remarks that the areas of Malibu, Palos Verdes, and Newport Beach are doing even better than the 18 beach side zip codes that were included in the study by the Times for their relative affordability.

Fewer sub-prime loans were made in the coastal areas, where the buyers tended to have less trouble qualifying for good fixed-rate loans, said Stuart Gabriel, a finance professor and director of the Ziman Center for Real Estate at UCLA.

“The sub-prime problems are focused on lower-income and lower-credit borrowers who were stretching to afford homes. Those areas are very visibly and geographically concentrated in the interior parts of the state,” Gabriel said.

Again demand for homes in the beach cities are high, while availability of inventory remains low. Those areas of the inland empire that have seen the steepest declines in the price of houses (losses of almost half the value from the highs) are those areas in which there was unbridled building and development, and risky lending to those buyers who were lower-income and lower-credit borrowers who were stretching to afford homes.

On the other hand, “The individuals who had the income and wealth to own in the beach areas have not seen any significant decline in their situations.”

In an April 1st Day article entitled “Market Bottom Officially Reached at 2:34 pm This Afternoon; Impasse Between Buyers And Sellers Finally Resolved,” Kevin Boar, of 3OceansRealEstate.com, blogged about a property in Stockton, CA that had finally sold after going through five real estate agents, several thousand dollars in price reductions and 30 long months on the market, signaling that the absolute bottom in the housing market had indeed been reached at this particular hour on this appointed day, at which time we could all breathe a collective sigh of relief.
While written tongue and cheek, there is a great deal of truthiness to this, if I can quote Steven Colbert’s newspeak word. If the housing market is in the tank, then why are all these buyers pouring through Open Houses recently? Is it just curiosity? Or do that many people simply have nothing better to do with their free time on the weekends than to frequent Open Houses? (A cheap form of entertainment, maybe?) My take on this up tick in Buyer foot traffic is that:

1. Buyers intuitively feel down deep in their gut that the housing market has “bottomed,” or “corrected.” (Truth be told, Buyers all seemingly appear out of nowhere and disappear into nowhere as a group.)
2. Buyers are experiencing housing market withdrawal in what is coined in real estate speak as “pent up buying demand.” (There has been a house buying strike since the mortgage debacle of the summer of 2007, and the fence sitters appear to be getting antsy.)
3. Re-sale housing inventory has shrunk dramatically since last year at this same time. (Sellers who don’t have to sell have taken their homes off the market, and we are not seeing the re-sale inventory increase dramatically for this “springtime” of the year.)
4. New home builders have either opted out of the current market by postponing new building, while, at the same time, cutting existing new home prices to reduce their current inventories quickly.
5. Buyers are becoming increasingly aware of the new favorable lending guidelines, i.e., the temporary increase of the conforming rate loan limit (previously capped at $417,000) up to $729,750 through the end of 2008, while interest rates continue to remain attractively low (30 year fixed rates continue to hover around the 6% mark with good FICO scores (above 720).

So what does it all mean? Well my “gut feeling” tells me that Buyers have their ear to the ground. Buyers intuitively know when a new listing comes on the market, and are in tune with what they consider to be a “good buy/value.” Buyers know when a home is “over priced” or “priced-to-sell.” Buyers know when other Buyers are interested in the same property that they are interested in. Buyers know when a home looks and shows well, and is priced right, because Buyers today are well educated…have done their homework, and then some.

Real estate is, after all, local, and what we’re seeing in the Irvine, CA housing market is an increase in demand as evidenced by the number of houses and condos going into escrow (that is, selling), and a diminished housing supply for this time of year. Both of which should translate into higher homes sales and stabilizing prices.

Sounds like the impasse between Buyers and Sellers may be passe…yesterday’s news. And that’s the truthiness of the housing stalemate…it’s over. And that’s no April Fools’ joke!